Uncertainty in Climate Change Research: An Integrated Approach
Chapter by Jennifer Morris, principal research scientist at the MIT Center for Sustainability Science and Strategy and the MIT Energy Initiative, and John Reilly, senior lecturer in the MIT Sloan School of Management
Springer Nature · 2025
Understanding future emissions scenarios is essential for preparing for climate change. The chapter "Emissions and Concentration Scenarios" examines how socioeconomic uncertainty contributes to overall climate change projections, and identifies key drivers of greenhouse gas emissions. It reviews the history of emissions scenarios and compares various approaches, including IPCC methods and formal uncertainty analysis techniques. The chapter concludes with lessons learned from over 40 years of socioeconomic scenario development for climate research.
From Summer 2026 recommended reading from MIT (MIT News).
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- Climate Change, Drinking Water Security, and Public Health: Global Challenges and Solutions · Libby Hsu, 2026
- Carbon Removal · Howard J. Herzog, 2025
- Phenomenal Moments: Revealing the Hidden Science Around Us · Felice Frankel, 2025
- Syntax: A Cognitive Approach · Edward A. F. Gibson, 2025
- The Headache: The Science of a Most Confounding Affliction, and a Search for Relief · Tom Zeller Jr., 2025
- The Shape of Wonder: How Scientists Think, Work, and Live · Alan Lightman, 2025